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Alpha Teknova, Inc. (TKNO)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2024 revenue was $9.6M, down 17% year over year but up 3% sequential; gross margin fell to 29.2% on mix and higher depreciation, while net loss improved to $5.4M ($0.13 per share) versus $7.2M in Q2 2023 .
- Management reiterated FY2024 revenue guidance of $35–$38M and free cash outflow of less than $18M; Lab Essentials growth assumption was lowered to ~5% (from ~10% in Q1) with remaining dollars from Clinical Solutions .
- Liquidity strengthened by a $15.4M equity private placement in July; quarter-end cash was $18.6M with gross debt of $12.1M, and free cash flow improved to -$3.0M from -$6.2M in Q2 2023 .
- Strategic launches—RUO+ and Express-Tek—aim to accelerate customer workflows and are expected to be gross-margin accretive; clinical customers rose to 43, up ~26% in six months, positioning for 2025 as biotech funding stabilizes .
- Street consensus from S&P Global was unavailable; thus, we cannot assess beats/misses versus estimates this quarter (S&P Global consensus unavailable).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Sequential improvement: revenue +3% q/q; adjusted EBITDA improved by ~$1.2M sequentially vs Q1, reflecting cost controls and operating discipline .
- Strategic product launches with margin tailwinds: “Express-Tek allows customers to have their custom products enter production in days instead of weeks… it will be gross margin accretive for us” .
- Growing clinical footprint and diversified base: active clinical customers reached 43, with no single direct customer >10% of revenue year-to-date, supporting future mix shift as trials advance .
What Went Wrong
- Year-over-year decline and margin compression: total revenue -17% y/y; gross margin fell to 29.2% (from 43.9%) on lower Clinical Solutions revenue and higher overhead/depreciation from the new facility .
- Clinical Solutions shortfall versus tough comp: $1.6M in Q2 2024 vs $3.7M in Q2 2023, primarily due to a large prior-year GMP order; average revenue per customer decreased despite more customers .
- Continued losses despite expense cuts: net loss of $5.4M; adjusted EBITDA of -$2.6M indicates profitability still dependent on scale and mix improvements .
Financial Results
Segment revenue mix:
KPIs (Q2 2024):
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We now supply more than 43 active clinical customers… 23 of which operate in the cell and gene therapy market segment” .
- “Express-Tek… allows customers to have their custom products enter production in days instead of weeks… yes, it will be gross margin accretive for us” .
- “We believe this additional capital provides us a bridge to profitability without the need for more external funding” .
- “We are cautiously optimistic… maintaining our full-year outlook of $35–$38 million of revenue and free cash outflow of less than $18 million” .
Q&A Highlights
- New offerings will be margin accretive; Express-Tek carries a premium and enables rapid production slots; RUO+ bridges RUO to GMP with higher pricing to recover costs .
- Macro view: funding improving but not yet translating to orders; management expects ~4-quarter lag and sees potential for double-digit growth in H2 2024 and into 2025 if trends persist .
- Product traction: AAV-Tek revenues small today but aid in onboarding; commercialization could scale dollars materially over 2–3 years .
- Competition/capacity: speed-to-market is a differentiator; Hollister facility supports ~>$200M capacity, enabling scaling as demand recovers .
- Guidance nuance: Lab Essentials growth assumption reduced to ~5% despite “green shoots,” offset by Clinical Solutions dollars in full-year plan .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global/Capital IQ consensus for Q2 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable at time of analysis due to data access limits; therefore, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus Street expectations this quarter (S&P Global consensus unavailable).
- Management’s reiterated FY2024 revenue outlook ($35–$38M) implies double-digit growth in H2 versus H2 2023 and flat full-year versus 2023 at the midpoint, which may prompt modest upward revisions if Clinical Solutions ramps and RUO+/Express-Tek gain traction .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Sequential progress with tighter cost control: revenue +3% q/q; adjusted EBITDA improved by ~$1.2M sequentially, and free cash flow improved versus Q2 2023, indicating operating discipline taking hold .
- Mix and depreciation remain the primary margin headwinds; normalization of Clinical Solutions and benefit from new offerings should support margin recovery over time .
- Strengthened liquidity via $15.4M private placement reduces financing risk and supports the bridge to profitability; quarter-end cash $18.6M and gross debt $12.1M .
- Pipeline of clinical customers (43) and diversified revenue base position the company for scaling as trials advance; no single direct customer >10% year-to-date .
- Guidance steady but mix shifted: Lab Essentials growth assumption lowered to ~5%, with Clinical Solutions expected to carry remaining dollars; watch H2 ramp and capex increase .
- Medium-term path to breakeven at $50–$55M annualized revenue remains intact; capacity can support significant scale at Hollister .
- Trading lens: near-term catalysts include incremental Clinical Solutions orders, visible uptake of RUO+/Express-Tek, and confirmation of H2 double-digit growth; risk remains around timing of funding translating to orders .